HSC Geography · Human–Environment Interactions

12.1 Natural & Human-Induced Change

Land cover change · NESA Stage 6 Geography (2022) · Revision deck
By the end you can…

Learning goals

Section 1

Change in Earth's natural systems

Two kinds of change

Natural change

Fires, floods, droughts, storms, volcanoes, earthquakes; long-term shifts in climate, water & nutrient cycles, succession.

Human-induced (anthropogenic)

Population growth, pollution, fossil-fuel burning, deforestation → climate change, erosion, poor air, water scarcity.

1900: ~1.6 billion people, local impacts. Today: 8 billion+, planetary impacts — the idea behind the Anthropocene.

Tipping points

A tipping point is a threshold beyond which change becomes self-sustaining and effectively irreversible on human timescales.

Use the term precisely — not just “a bad point,” but a threshold triggering cascading feedbacks.

Section 2

Natural change over time

Deep-time cycles

Climate has always changed — the question is the rate and direction of today's change.

How do we know? Proxies

Ice cores

Trapped air = past CO₂ & temperature, 800,000+ years.

Tree rings

Ring width = yearly growth conditions.

Sediment & coral

Layer chemistry = past ocean & temperature.

Section 3

Anthropogenic climate change

The fossil-fuel driver

Burn fossil fuels → release CO₂ → enhance greenhouse effect → trap heat → warm the lower atmosphere.

300 350 400 450 185019502000now pre-industrial ~280 ppm >420 ppm

Pre-industrial ~280 ppm → over 420 ppm now; sharpest rise since the 1950s (the “hockey stick”).

Deforestation: a double hit

Releases carbon

Clearing/burning trees puts stored carbon back into the air.

Removes the sink

Fewer trees → less CO₂ absorbed → warming accelerates.

Section 4

Evidence of change today

The warming signal

baseline (20th-C average) 0 +0.5 +1.0 18501950now >+1.1°C

>1 °C since 1850; each recent decade warmer than the last; 10 warmest years all since 2014; 2023 the warmest on record.

Four physical signals

Ice

Glaciers & ice sheets melting.

Seas

Sea level rising.

Ocean chemistry

Acidifying (the “other CO₂ problem”).

Weather

Extremes more frequent & severe.

Section 5

Spatial variation in warming

Warming is uneven

global (1×) Arctic~4× Europe~2× Global India*slower *aerosol pollution reflects sunlight — a harmful, temporary “mask”
Case study: Arctic amplification

~4× global rate. Ice–albedo feedback: melting bright ice exposes dark ocean that absorbs more heat → more melting.

InterconnectionChangeScale
Section 6

An Australian perspective

BoM/CSIRO State of the Climate 2022

+1.47 °C

Air temperature since 1910.

+1.05 °C

Sea-surface temp since 1900.

−15%

SW WA cool-season rainfall since 1970.

Longer fire seasons, more intense cyclones, less alpine snow, acidifying seas. Cite the report & year.

Recap

12.1 in one screen

Pull it together

Next: 12.2 Land cover change at a global scale.

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